In May of 2013 I traveled to the historical city of Istanbul, Turkey. I learned a great deal on my trip, including some clumsy Turkish in advance of my travels, and I found that even a short four day visit can cause one to fall in love with a place and its people. My impetus for travelling to Istanbul was not primarily for pleasure, or even a historical lesson, but to attend a two day workshop on demand forecasting. Facilitated by Hans Levenbach of Delphus, Inc., these forecasting workshops are part of a program that trains Certified Professional Demand Forecasters (CPDF) .
Who am I? Why am I me and not somebody else? Who was I and who will I become? These are the sorts of questions I have asked myself throughout my life, and I imagine that most people have thought about these enigmatic notions on one occasion or another. These questions have recently been in my mind again lately, but not primarily in regards to my own self and identity.
The two theories of social change that I find most compelling are Evolution and Emergence. Evolution is a well known idea in terms of biology and Darwin, but in terms of social change the theory assumes that variations among human traits and behaviors, as well as group social norms and trappings, combined with the ability to replicate these patterns and a selection process for environmental fitness and adaptation, leads to societal changes over time.
The hard rock band Realizing Resonance performs enthusiastically in their otherwise empty rented practice space. The band is composed of four members, Taylor, the lead vocalist and rhythm guitarist, Daniel plays lead guitar, Rune is on bass, and Chris is the drummer.
I recently travelled to Istanbul for the first time, attending a training workshop for business forecasting, seizing a chance to marvel at the relics of Ottoman and Byzantine history backdrop the emerging vitality of modern Turkey. It was the ides of May, a time of relative calm considering the waves of turbulent protest that have swept across Turkey since then. The mellow atmosphere I experienced a month ago while walking through Istanbul's Taksim Square has been shattered by angry mobs defiantly confronting unforgiving authority.
Merhaba. Benim adım Jared ve ben Amerika'liyim. Ben İngilizce konuşmak, ama bu hafta İstanbul'a ziyaret edicek çünkü Türk öğreniyorum.
To say that economic forecasting is inherently difficult is an understatement. The economy is a complex adaptive system, with billions of independent agents and countless relations and interconnections between them acting in a dynamic dancing ecology. The discovery of economic forces, theories, and correlations is a fruitful social scientific endeavor that has given us great insight into the workings of markets and money, but the problem of seeing into the future and anticipating the change in an evolving macroeconomic system confounds plenty of experts.
Successfully guiding your organization through a transformational change requires the stuff that true leaders are made of. Moving from the comfortable status quo into a new era is not a foregone conclusion, and trepidatious attitudes can be difficult to convince. If the right steps aren't taken to bring about a process of change, resistance could imperil the plan and old habits could reassert themselves in no time.
I was born a few months before America's bicentennial, March 10th 1976, 100 years to the day after the first telephone call. A lot has changed in the last 37 years. I remember growing up in the 1980s, sometimes afraid of nuclear war with the Soviet Union, but most of the time listening to tapes on my walkman. Now in 2013, less than 50 years later, the Soviet Union is long gone, and if I get an itch to listen to an 80s song that randomly gets stuck in my head I can download the digital copy for about a dollar and listen to it on my smartphone.
Today is Future Day, but today is not a future day. Future Day is celebrated on the present day when that day happens to be March 1st, as today happens to be. Next year's Future Day is a future day, a calendar day not a realized day, and by the time we get to celebrating on that particular day it will obviously be the present day at that time.